Weather Today April 30, 2009,3:00PM

PAGASA
Severe Weather Bulletin Number TWO
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Tropical Depression "CRISING"
Issued at 5:00 p.m., Thursday, 30 April 2009

Tropical Depression "CRISING" has maintained its strength and remained almost stationary for the past 6 hours.
Location of Center:(as of 4:00 p.m.) 290 kms West of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro
Coordinates: 12.6°N, 118.3°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near the center
Movement: Almost stationary

Forecast Positions/Outlook:
Friday afternoon:270 kms West of San Jose, Occidental MindoroSaturday afternoon:260 kms West of San Jose, Occidental MindoroSunday afternoon:250 kms West of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro or240 kms North of Puerto Princesa City

Signal No. 1(30-60 kph winds)
PalawanCuyo IslandCalamian Group of Islands,Occidental Mindoro,Lubang Island

Meanwhile, a Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated in the vicinity of Albay (13.5°N, 123.6°E). Resiedents in low lying areas and near mountain slopes under storm signal #1 and the rest of Southern Luzon are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides. The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 P.M. today.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISING (96W)
T2K INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001A:As of 3:00 PM PST (07:00 GMT) Thu 30 Apr 2009
Source: NOAA/JTWC SATELLITE ANALYSIS
Time/Date: 3:00 PM PST Thu Apr 30 2009
Location of Center: 12.6º N Lat 117.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 425 km (230 nm) SW of ManilaDistance
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 70 kph (38 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 7 feet [2.1 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: SSE @ 05 kph (03 kt)
General Direction: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 250 km (135 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft (2.4 m)

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNAL # THREE (3) In Effect: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2) In Effect: METRO Now lowered: CATANDUANES.

The above areas will experience stormy weather today (with winds of up to 100 kph for #02).

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) In Effect: . Now lowered: EASTERN & WESTERN SAMAR, BILIRAN, LEYTE PROVINCES, NORTHERN CEBU, BOHOL, DINAGAT PROVINCE, SIARGAO ISLAND, SURIGAO DEL NORTE, SURIGAO DEL SUR, & AGUSAN DEL NORTE.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 35 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides. -->

Tropical Depression CRISING (96W) slightly disorganized as it interacts w/ the Bicol LPA...drifting SE-ward.*Residents and visitors along Western Luzon & Western Visayas should closely monitor the progress of CRISING. **Residents of Hong Kong must take precautionary measures, as Storm Signal No. 3 is in force. Kindly check out Hong Kong Observatory's bulletin on the passage of this storm.-->*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: TD CRISING is expected to to remain almost stationary for the next 2 to 3 days due to the interaction w/ the Tropical Disturbance (LPA/94W) located over Albay or in the vicinity of Legazpi City. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows TD CRISING heading on a North to NE direction and crossing Northern or Central Luzon sometime Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday (May 4-6) as a developed Tropical Storm.*Alternate Forecast Scenario: There's a possibility that AURING shall track-back to the West to WSW tomorrow and cross Bicol-Samar area on Wednesday. This scenario is likely if the developing High Pressure Steering Ridge off Taiwan strengthens and becomes the dominant factor - bringing strong surge of NE Monsoon which will steer AURING.